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Mystery pound crash of 6% to be investigated by the Bank of England

In the most dramatic drop since the results of the EU referendum in June, the pound dropped to $1.1841 before recovering to $1.24 against the dollar.

In the biggest plunge since the Brexit vote, the value of sterling fell 6% to the value of $1.1841 in overnight trading in Asia.

The Bank of England has confirmed that they will investigate the mysterious circumstances surrounding the sharp fall in the value of the pound on Friday, stating: “We are looking at the causes of the sharp falls overnight.”

In the most dramatic drop since the results of the EU referendum in June, the pound fell as much as 6 percent to $1.1841 before recovering to $1.24 against the dollar.

A hard Brexit

The pound has become extremely sensitive to politics during negotiations to leave the EU as fears of a ‘hard Brexit’ loom over investor attraction towards the currency.

Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets, said that the fall was indicative of how low the currency could go, stating:

“What we had was insane – call it flash crash but the move of this magnitude really tells you how low the currency can really go” adding “Hard Brexit has haunted the sterling”. 

Human error or technical glitch

At 10.30 am today, sterling stood at $1.2372 against the dollar, leaving investors wondering what drove the downfall and sparking speculation that it was a human glitch or technical error.

The FT report

Another theory surrounding the circumstances of the ‘flash crash’ include the publication of a Financial Times report in which French president, François Hollande, said that Britain must suffer the consequences of Brexit. 

Hollande also commented that the EU must demand a tough stance when it comes to negotiating the exit.

Senior economist at RBC Capital Markets, Su-Lin Ong, said that “the move coincided with an FT story about French president Hollande demanding tough Brexit negotiations. The move was exacerbated once stops were tripped below a key level of $1.2600 in very thin trading before the US payrolls.”

The Prime Minister's speech

On Sunday, British Prime Minister, Theresa May, hinted that the UK was heading towards a deal that could restrict the UK’s access to the European single market.

Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac, said sterling had been “on a precipice” since her speech.


Melanie Luff

About the author

Mel wrote for all titles in the Dynamis stable including, and as well as other global industry publications.


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